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AI Work Index

Reports

Latest context: 2.9% resident unemployment · 74% of workers using AI at work · Q4 2025 full labour monitor · updated 2026-06-11

Published Reports

V7 Release Note Current

V7 adds a task-concentration exposure buffer (Hampole et al.) and a demand-persistence proxy to the structural formula. Corrected 7 Jun 2026: the concentration term now buffers rather than amplifies exposure, matching the cited finding.

V6 Release Note Archive

V6 introduced the two-axis structural formula with 4-source exposure ensemble, human bottleneck, and explicit demand resilience. Superseded by V7.

V4.3 Shadow Model Note Shadow published

What the task-weighted shadow model would change, which promotion gates remain open, and why it stays separate from the live headline score.

Shadow score is published. Promotion into the headline model still depends on validation and anchor-review sign-off.

V5 Roadmap Next

The next scientific release program after V4.3: augmentation heterogeneity, empirical mobility, posterior uncertainty, and realized-risk forecasting.

Planning surface for the V5 program. Sidecars are published and the first integrated experimental model is now available separately.

V5 Experimental Model Experimental

The first integrated V5 candidate now combines posterior uncertainty, augmentation heterogeneity, empirical mobility, and realized-risk calibration into one auditable model output.

Current validation snapshot: structural 2/2, realized 2/4. This remains separate from the live headline score.

Wage Exposure Analysis Report

Annual wage context for occupations in the two highest AI exposure bands, with sector breakdowns and explicit limits on what the totals mean.

Based on V8 scoring, updated 2026-06-11

Q4 2024 Scoring Report

Initial V3 scoring results: 562 occupations scored across exposure, bottleneck, and market resilience. Key findings on paradox roles, highest-risk occupations, and theory vs practice gaps.

Archived snapshot rebuilt under the current V7 pipeline, updated 2026-06-11

Governance & Release Notes

Changelog Ledger

Canonical release ledger for structural releases, shadow-model notes, report refreshes, and official labour-monitor updates.

18 recorded events in the current public history

Latest release activity Current

V8 truthful AI exposure release

Published 2026-07-15 · V8

Open →

V7 structural release

Published 2026-04-07 · V7

Open →

V6 structural release

Published 2026-04-01 · V6

Open →

Current Snapshot

Live monitor metrics and signals, kept separate from the structural score.

AI Adoption · 2024

62.5%

non-SME AI adoption

Workers · 2024

73.8%

using AI at work

Unemployment · 2025 4Q

2.9%

resident unemployment

NAIIP · 2026

100K

AI-bilingual target

Hiring Now Monitor (0 postings, 30D)

Top Skills

Python · Go · Java

AI / Tools

tableau · power bi · chatgpt

As of

Jul 16, 2026

Employer Pressure Monitor (11 signals)

Highest Pressure

general_professional · software_engineering

high signal tier

Latest Signal

Oct 6, 2025

Quarterly Movers (0 band changes, occupations-v7-2026-06.json to occupations-v7-2026-07.json)

Top Risers

No major risers

Top Fallers

No major fallers

Quarterly Briefing

What changed

  • No occupations changed risk band in the latest frozen comparison.
  • Production & Transport Operators, Cleaners & Labourers saw the strongest vacancy pickup while Clerical, Sales & Service Workers saw the sharpest vacancy cooling in the live labour monitor.
  • Structural movers remain limited in the latest snapshot comparison.

Why it matters

  • Clerical, Sales & Service Workers now reads as deteriorating, which means structural pressure is landing on a weaker live labour backdrop for that family of work.
  • Production & Transport Operators, Cleaners & Labourers still reads as strong, so not every high-exposure occupation faces the same near-term labour conditions.

What to watch

  • Watch whether rising retrenchment counts persist into the next quarter rather than treating one quarter as a trend.
  • Watch whether official demand lists change meaningfully in the next release cycle.
  • Read snapshot movers together with the live monitor, not as standalone proof of labour-market deterioration.